From: Jasper
Date: 1/7/01
Time: 3:05:54 PM
Jean,
Coincidence is the key to the whole case. It does happen. But it does not happen as frequently as you might suppose and NEVER in multiple clusters.
You go to a bar where you see a man approach a woman and introduce himself. She ignores him. He tells her that he can deduce everything about her simply by the drink she has in front of her. She doesn't seem impressed. Then he says, "Your name is Flora." That gets her attention. You went to Freemont High School in Kansas City, Missouri and you have a mole in the shape of a padlock under your left breast. Now the woman is fully engrossed and everyone in the bar is paying attention. The man begins to make lewd comments about her. She smiles. He begins to fondle her. She asks him to tell her again what his name is. He does. She tells him that she wants to have his children. He agrees and he leads her out of the bar with his hand on her backside.
How do you explain a story like this? Could the meeting of the man and woman have been a coincidence? Yes. Could the man have guessed the woman's name? Yes. Could he have deduced from her drink everything else he said about her and what she would do? No. There is enough in this story to tell you that the man and woman knew each other well and they were playing a game. If they were strangers, the guy could have hit upon a line that the woman liked and she played along with him. Maybe the guy learned everything he said about her before he approached her at the bar and knew what approach she was likely to respond to by the research he did. We know for sure that coincidence cannot explain everything that happened.
The clusters of coincidences that are necessary to support Fuhrman's bleeding killer theory go way beyond the limits of probability. And remember, it WAS Fuhrman's theory that the killer was bleeding. He speculated that the killer was bitten by the dog. O.J.'s cut was, in fact, associated with a dog. Even someone who cut himself on his hands and fingers frequently, as Robert Kardashian said O.J. did, does not do it 365 days a year. If O.J. got cuts on his hands sufficient to leave blood drops a hundred times more than most men do (less than once a year), the fact that he cut himself within an hour of when his ex-wife was slashed to death with a knife, is a HUGE coincidence. It is so unlikely that an odds-maker would lay you odds of several thousands to one that the two incidences would not occur independently of each other. Those are the kinds of odds you bet your life on every time you drive to work.
In other words, a HUGE coincidence can explain the first cut - the small one that was consistent with blood drops Fung collected on O.J.'s driveway and in his foyer. It cannot explain the second one in the same place that he returned with from Chicago. If O.J. cut himself on purpose in a panic over fear that his blood on Rockingham would incriminate him, the killer had to have acted before then with equal concern that the cut would have cleared him. Otherwise, there would have been no need to invent a blood trail (a coincidence on top of a coincidence) or for the left-hand glove to come off in a struggle (a coincidence within a coincidence on top of a coincidence).
Fuhrman had committed himself to the bleeding killer theory long before O.J. was contacted or anyone had gone to Rockingham (Fuhrman's note # 13 - Chapter 1 of The Smoking Gun 2). The three blood drops trailing from the Bundy glove and the first blood drop about six inches in front and six inches to the left (Ito's description of a photo) of the first distinct bloody shoeprint tell of a killer bleeding from his left hand. Blood drops anywhere else can be argued convincingly any way you wish to argue them. There was no way to make a cut in the glove that corresponded to the cut on O.J.'s finger. The story of that glove and the blood trail (it's the same story) is so flawed that it had to have been improvised to account for something so improbable that no one could have anticipated it. But it was so close that it could not have happened by chance. --Jasper