Iago (January) Discussion

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Lucky Accidents

From: Jasper
Date: 1/8/01
Time: 9:37:20 AM

Comments

Jean,

Have you noticed how often lucky accidents are used by different people to explain how a given person was able to commit the murders without being caught? Depending on who you think the killer is you get a long list of lucky accidents in every case except one. The one exception is Mark Fuhrman, although he appears on the surface to have the longest list of lucky accidents of anyone in history..

People who think O.J. is the killer believe that he managed to use gloves, shoes, a sweatsuit and a knife that could not be positively identified as his because the records of the transactions or the items themselves luckily disappeard. They believe that he was able to drive to Bundy in a noisy white tank and park it in the ally for ten or fifteen minutes, luckily, without being seen. Meanwhile, they believe that he was lucky enough to subdue two young, strong, athletic people in a violent struggle without sustaining visible injury to himself. The "fact" that he cut himself was bad luck, but the fact that no one noticed the cut until he got back from Chicago was good luck. The "fact" that he was able to park that noisy tank of his on Rockingham after the murders without being seen or heard by the limo driver, Allan Park, was another lucky accident.

Critics of the defense's glove-planting theory are absolutely correct in saying what a stretch it is to think that police would conspire to plant evidence like that against one of the best known and best loved celebrities in the country -- a man who might prove to have an airtight alibi. That's trusting an awful lot to luck at a time when they could not have known where he was when the murders where committed. Besides, the cop acussed of finding the second glove on Bundy and taking it to Rockingham to plant, got to Bundy almost two hours after the first officers arrived. Sixteen to eighteen officers were there before him and someone was watching him all the time. So, how do they explain him finding the second glove? Excellent police work. He asked the right person the right question and followed up on the answer. That's what good detectives do. That, on its face, is a more logical explanation for the discovery of the glove and the person making the discovery than the planted glove theory. The problem with this partiular detective was his history with the Simpsons. He was the only officer on the case who'd met the female victim and the man accused of killing her. How did he end up on the case? He got lucky.

What happens when you apply Occam's Razor to the puzzle and start taking luck out of the equation where you can find evidence of a calculad alternative? You get a logical expanation for every scrap of evidence whicn is consistent with one active killer and four confederates. If long-term recruiting and planing on the model of a military ambush had more to do with the evidence against O.J. and the good fortune of Fuhrman than chance, the long list of lucky accidents that made Mark Fuhrman rich and famous at O.J. Simpson's expense cease to exist.--Jasper

Last changed: December 04, 2001